Improving statistical power in severe malaria genetic association studies by augmenting phenotypic precision

Severe falciparum malaria has substantially affected human evolution. Genetic association studies of patients with clinically defined severe malaria and matched population controls have helped characterise human genetic susceptibility to severe malaria, but phenotypic imprecision compromises discove...

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Main Authors: James A Watson, Carolyne M Ndila, Sophie Uyoga, Alexander Macharia, Gideon Nyutu, Shebe Mohammed, Caroline Ngetsa, Neema Mturi, Norbert Peshu, Benjamin Tsofa, Kirk Rockett, Stije Leopold, Hugh Kingston, Elizabeth C George, Kathryn Maitland, Nicholas PJ Day, Arjen M Dondorp, Philip Bejon, Thomas N Williams, Chris C Holmes, Nicholas J White
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: eLife Sciences Publications Ltd 2021-07-01
Series:eLife
Subjects:
Online Access:https://elifesciences.org/articles/69698
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author James A Watson
Carolyne M Ndila
Sophie Uyoga
Alexander Macharia
Gideon Nyutu
Shebe Mohammed
Caroline Ngetsa
Neema Mturi
Norbert Peshu
Benjamin Tsofa
Kirk Rockett
Stije Leopold
Hugh Kingston
Elizabeth C George
Kathryn Maitland
Nicholas PJ Day
Arjen M Dondorp
Philip Bejon
Thomas N Williams
Chris C Holmes
Nicholas J White
author_facet James A Watson
Carolyne M Ndila
Sophie Uyoga
Alexander Macharia
Gideon Nyutu
Shebe Mohammed
Caroline Ngetsa
Neema Mturi
Norbert Peshu
Benjamin Tsofa
Kirk Rockett
Stije Leopold
Hugh Kingston
Elizabeth C George
Kathryn Maitland
Nicholas PJ Day
Arjen M Dondorp
Philip Bejon
Thomas N Williams
Chris C Holmes
Nicholas J White
author_sort James A Watson
collection DOAJ
description Severe falciparum malaria has substantially affected human evolution. Genetic association studies of patients with clinically defined severe malaria and matched population controls have helped characterise human genetic susceptibility to severe malaria, but phenotypic imprecision compromises discovered associations. In areas of high malaria transmission, the diagnosis of severe malaria in young children and, in particular, the distinction from bacterial sepsis are imprecise. We developed a probabilistic diagnostic model of severe malaria using platelet and white count data. Under this model, we re-analysed clinical and genetic data from 2220 Kenyan children with clinically defined severe malaria and 3940 population controls, adjusting for phenotype mis-labelling. Our model, validated by the distribution of sickle trait, estimated that approximately one-third of cases did not have severe malaria. We propose a data-tilting approach for case-control studies with phenotype mis-labelling and show that this reduces false discovery rates and improves statistical power in genome-wide association studies.
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spelling doaj.art-9975f68439c94b6da46fbbde7cbac9a52022-12-22T02:01:59ZengeLife Sciences Publications LtdeLife2050-084X2021-07-011010.7554/eLife.69698Improving statistical power in severe malaria genetic association studies by augmenting phenotypic precisionJames A Watson0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5524-0325Carolyne M Ndila1Sophie Uyoga2Alexander Macharia3Gideon Nyutu4Shebe Mohammed5Caroline Ngetsa6Neema Mturi7Norbert Peshu8Benjamin Tsofa9Kirk Rockett10Stije Leopold11https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0482-5689Hugh Kingston12https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1869-8307Elizabeth C George13Kathryn Maitland14https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0007-0645Nicholas PJ Day15https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2309-1171Arjen M Dondorp16https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5190-2395Philip Bejon17Thomas N Williams18https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4456-2382Chris C Holmes19Nicholas J White20https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1897-1978Mahidol Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand; Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United KingdomMahidol Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand; Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United KingdomKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Centre for Geographic Medicine Research-Coast, Kilifi, KenyaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Centre for Geographic Medicine Research-Coast, Kilifi, KenyaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Centre for Geographic Medicine Research-Coast, Kilifi, KenyaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Centre for Geographic Medicine Research-Coast, Kilifi, KenyaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Centre for Geographic Medicine Research-Coast, Kilifi, KenyaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Centre for Geographic Medicine Research-Coast, Kilifi, KenyaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Centre for Geographic Medicine Research-Coast, Kilifi, KenyaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Centre for Geographic Medicine Research-Coast, Kilifi, KenyaThe Wellcome Sanger Institute, Cambridge, United Kingdom; Wellcome Trust Centre for Human Genetics, University of Oxford, Oxford, United KingdomMahidol Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand; Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United KingdomMahidol Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand; Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United KingdomMedical Research Council Clinical Trials Unit, University College London, London, United KingdomKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Centre for Geographic Medicine Research-Coast, Kilifi, Kenya; Institute of Global Health Innovation, Imperial College, London, London, United KingdomMahidol Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand; Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United KingdomMahidol Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand; Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United KingdomCentre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom; KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Centre for Geographic Medicine Research-Coast, Kilifi, KenyaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Centre for Geographic Medicine Research-Coast, Kilifi, Kenya; Institute of Global Health Innovation, Imperial College, London, London, United KingdomNuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom; Department of Statistics, University of Oxford, Oxford, United KingdomMahidol Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand; Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United KingdomSevere falciparum malaria has substantially affected human evolution. Genetic association studies of patients with clinically defined severe malaria and matched population controls have helped characterise human genetic susceptibility to severe malaria, but phenotypic imprecision compromises discovered associations. In areas of high malaria transmission, the diagnosis of severe malaria in young children and, in particular, the distinction from bacterial sepsis are imprecise. We developed a probabilistic diagnostic model of severe malaria using platelet and white count data. Under this model, we re-analysed clinical and genetic data from 2220 Kenyan children with clinically defined severe malaria and 3940 population controls, adjusting for phenotype mis-labelling. Our model, validated by the distribution of sickle trait, estimated that approximately one-third of cases did not have severe malaria. We propose a data-tilting approach for case-control studies with phenotype mis-labelling and show that this reduces false discovery rates and improves statistical power in genome-wide association studies.https://elifesciences.org/articles/69698severe malariaGWASdiagnosiscomplete blood count
spellingShingle James A Watson
Carolyne M Ndila
Sophie Uyoga
Alexander Macharia
Gideon Nyutu
Shebe Mohammed
Caroline Ngetsa
Neema Mturi
Norbert Peshu
Benjamin Tsofa
Kirk Rockett
Stije Leopold
Hugh Kingston
Elizabeth C George
Kathryn Maitland
Nicholas PJ Day
Arjen M Dondorp
Philip Bejon
Thomas N Williams
Chris C Holmes
Nicholas J White
Improving statistical power in severe malaria genetic association studies by augmenting phenotypic precision
eLife
severe malaria
GWAS
diagnosis
complete blood count
title Improving statistical power in severe malaria genetic association studies by augmenting phenotypic precision
title_full Improving statistical power in severe malaria genetic association studies by augmenting phenotypic precision
title_fullStr Improving statistical power in severe malaria genetic association studies by augmenting phenotypic precision
title_full_unstemmed Improving statistical power in severe malaria genetic association studies by augmenting phenotypic precision
title_short Improving statistical power in severe malaria genetic association studies by augmenting phenotypic precision
title_sort improving statistical power in severe malaria genetic association studies by augmenting phenotypic precision
topic severe malaria
GWAS
diagnosis
complete blood count
url https://elifesciences.org/articles/69698
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