Standard assessments of climate forecast skill can be misleading

Many different methods have been developed to forecast climate phenomena like the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) which makes a fair comparison of their capabilities crucial. In this perspective, the authors discuss how choices in the evaluation method can lead to an overestimated perceived skil...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: James S. Risbey, Dougal T. Squire, Amanda S. Black, Timothy DelSole, Chiara Lepore, Richard J. Matear, Didier P. Monselesan, Thomas S. Moore, Doug Richardson, Andrew Schepen, Michael K. Tippett, Carly R. Tozer
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2021-07-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23771-z