Standard assessments of climate forecast skill can be misleading
Many different methods have been developed to forecast climate phenomena like the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) which makes a fair comparison of their capabilities crucial. In this perspective, the authors discuss how choices in the evaluation method can lead to an overestimated perceived skil...
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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: |
James S. Risbey,
Dougal T. Squire,
Amanda S. Black,
Timothy DelSole,
Chiara Lepore,
Richard J. Matear,
Didier P. Monselesan,
Thomas S. Moore,
Doug Richardson,
Andrew Schepen,
Michael K. Tippett,
Carly R. Tozer |
Format: | Article
|
Language: | English |
Published: |
Nature Portfolio
2021-07-01
|
Series: | Nature Communications
|
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23771-z
|