Standard assessments of climate forecast skill can be misleading
Many different methods have been developed to forecast climate phenomena like the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) which makes a fair comparison of their capabilities crucial. In this perspective, the authors discuss how choices in the evaluation method can lead to an overestimated perceived skil...
Main Authors: | James S. Risbey, Dougal T. Squire, Amanda S. Black, Timothy DelSole, Chiara Lepore, Richard J. Matear, Didier P. Monselesan, Thomas S. Moore, Doug Richardson, Andrew Schepen, Michael K. Tippett, Carly R. Tozer |
---|---|
Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Nature Portfolio
2021-07-01
|
Series: | Nature Communications |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23771-z |
Similar Items
-
Global increase in wildfire potential from compound fire weather and drought
by: Doug Richardson, et al.
Published: (2022-03-01) -
Increased extreme fire weather occurrence in southeast Australia and related atmospheric drivers
by: Doug Richardson, et al.
Published: (2021-12-01) -
Common Issues in Verification of Climate Forecasts and Projections
by: James S. Risbey, et al.
Published: (2022-06-01) -
A large ensemble illustration of how record-shattering heat records can endure
by: James S Risbey, et al.
Published: (2023-01-01) -
Impacts of ENSO on Australian rainfall: what not to expect
by: Dougal T. Squire, et al.
Published: (2023-01-01)