Short-Term 4D Trajectory Prediction for UAV Based on Spatio-Temporal Trajectory Clustering

To improve the trajectory prediction accuracy of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) with random behavior intentions, this paper presents a short-term four-dimensional (4D) trajectory prediction method based on spatio-temporal trajectory clustering. A spatio-temporal trajectory clustering algorithm is f...

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Main Authors: Gang Zhong, Honghai Zhang, Jiangying Zhou, Jinlun Zhou, Hao Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2022-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9874805/
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author Gang Zhong
Honghai Zhang
Jiangying Zhou
Jinlun Zhou
Hao Liu
author_facet Gang Zhong
Honghai Zhang
Jiangying Zhou
Jinlun Zhou
Hao Liu
author_sort Gang Zhong
collection DOAJ
description To improve the trajectory prediction accuracy of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) with random behavior intentions, this paper presents a short-term four-dimensional (4D) trajectory prediction method based on spatio-temporal trajectory clustering. A spatio-temporal trajectory clustering algorithm is first designed to cluster the UAV trajectory segments divided by a fixed time window. Each trajectory segment is given a category label that represents some certain type of behavior characteristics, such as climbing, turning, descending, etc. The convolutional neural network (CNN) is used to identify the category label of a given trajectory segment by learning the behavior characteristics of different trajectory segments. Based on the long-short-term memory network (LSTM), a short-term trajectory prediction model for different categories of label trajectory segments is established. The global trajectory prediction includes several steps adopting the corresponding prediction models. Historical trajectory data of UAVs are used to validate the proposed prediction method. Experiment results indicate that the method can obtain obviously better prediction accuracy in a short prediction time range (0-3s) with acceptable efficiency compared to LSTM, GRU and velocity trend extrapolation.
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spelling doaj.art-a39879b02b364a818f5378f876110b3b2022-12-22T03:15:21ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362022-01-0110933629338010.1109/ACCESS.2022.32034289874805Short-Term 4D Trajectory Prediction for UAV Based on Spatio-Temporal Trajectory ClusteringGang Zhong0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1733-5897Honghai Zhang1Jiangying Zhou2Jinlun Zhou3https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8799-1956Hao Liu4College of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, ChinaCollege of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, ChinaCollege of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, ChinaCollege of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, ChinaCollege of Science, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, ChinaTo improve the trajectory prediction accuracy of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) with random behavior intentions, this paper presents a short-term four-dimensional (4D) trajectory prediction method based on spatio-temporal trajectory clustering. A spatio-temporal trajectory clustering algorithm is first designed to cluster the UAV trajectory segments divided by a fixed time window. Each trajectory segment is given a category label that represents some certain type of behavior characteristics, such as climbing, turning, descending, etc. The convolutional neural network (CNN) is used to identify the category label of a given trajectory segment by learning the behavior characteristics of different trajectory segments. Based on the long-short-term memory network (LSTM), a short-term trajectory prediction model for different categories of label trajectory segments is established. The global trajectory prediction includes several steps adopting the corresponding prediction models. Historical trajectory data of UAVs are used to validate the proposed prediction method. Experiment results indicate that the method can obtain obviously better prediction accuracy in a short prediction time range (0-3s) with acceptable efficiency compared to LSTM, GRU and velocity trend extrapolation.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9874805/UAV4D trajectory predictionspatio-temporal clusteringdeep learning
spellingShingle Gang Zhong
Honghai Zhang
Jiangying Zhou
Jinlun Zhou
Hao Liu
Short-Term 4D Trajectory Prediction for UAV Based on Spatio-Temporal Trajectory Clustering
IEEE Access
UAV
4D trajectory prediction
spatio-temporal clustering
deep learning
title Short-Term 4D Trajectory Prediction for UAV Based on Spatio-Temporal Trajectory Clustering
title_full Short-Term 4D Trajectory Prediction for UAV Based on Spatio-Temporal Trajectory Clustering
title_fullStr Short-Term 4D Trajectory Prediction for UAV Based on Spatio-Temporal Trajectory Clustering
title_full_unstemmed Short-Term 4D Trajectory Prediction for UAV Based on Spatio-Temporal Trajectory Clustering
title_short Short-Term 4D Trajectory Prediction for UAV Based on Spatio-Temporal Trajectory Clustering
title_sort short term 4d trajectory prediction for uav based on spatio temporal trajectory clustering
topic UAV
4D trajectory prediction
spatio-temporal clustering
deep learning
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9874805/
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AT honghaizhang shortterm4dtrajectorypredictionforuavbasedonspatiotemporaltrajectoryclustering
AT jiangyingzhou shortterm4dtrajectorypredictionforuavbasedonspatiotemporaltrajectoryclustering
AT jinlunzhou shortterm4dtrajectorypredictionforuavbasedonspatiotemporaltrajectoryclustering
AT haoliu shortterm4dtrajectorypredictionforuavbasedonspatiotemporaltrajectoryclustering