Intermediate Volatility Forecasts Using Implied Forward Volatility: The Performance of Selected Agricultural Commodity Options
Options with different maturities can be used to generate an implied forward volatility, a volatility forecast for non-overlapping future time intervals. Using five commodities with varying characteristics, we find that the implied forward volatility dominates forecasts based on historical volatilit...
Main Authors: | , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Western Agricultural Economics Association
2006-12-01
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Series: | Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/8637 |