Epidemic highs and lows: a stochastic diffusion model for active cases

We derive a stochastic epidemic model for the evolving density of infective individuals in a large population. Data shows main features of a typical epidemic consist of low periods interspersed with outbreaks of various intensities and duration. In our stochastic differential model, a novel reproduc...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Luis F. Gordillo, Priscilla E. Greenwood, Dana Strong
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2023-12-01
Series:Journal of Biological Dynamics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/17513758.2023.2189001