Development of construction duration prediction model for project planning phase of mixed-use buildings

The nature of the mixed-use building’s characteristics should be considered to calculate a proper construction duration for mixed-use buildings in the project planning phase. However, the existing construction duration prediction models are incapable to reflect nature as they were developed mainly f...

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Main Authors: Yoo-Jun Kim, Dong-Jun Yeom, Young Suk Kim
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2019-11-01
Series:Journal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13467581.2019.1696207
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author Yoo-Jun Kim
Dong-Jun Yeom
Young Suk Kim
author_facet Yoo-Jun Kim
Dong-Jun Yeom
Young Suk Kim
author_sort Yoo-Jun Kim
collection DOAJ
description The nature of the mixed-use building’s characteristics should be considered to calculate a proper construction duration for mixed-use buildings in the project planning phase. However, the existing construction duration prediction models are incapable to reflect nature as they were developed mainly for single-use buildings. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to suggest a multiple linear regression model for mixed-use buildings that can help the owner and contractor predict a proper construction duration in the project planning phase. To do so, 1,969 mixed-use building project data were collected. The final prediction model for mixed-use buildings with five independent variables was suggested in this study. Its R2 was 0.637 and Ra2 was 0.635. In addition, the results of the validation showed that the prediction model’s average prediction accuracy, MAPE, and RMSE were 88.51%, 75.94, and 11.49% respectively. Given that the prediction model is applied in the project planning phase when there is insufficient information on the project, the results are believed to be at a considerably reliable level. This prediction model will allow the end-user to make simple and quick predictions of a construction duration of a mixed-use building based only on the basic information in the project planning phase.
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spelling doaj.art-abdaa6226fc54a5dbc09797d3ef00b842023-08-03T09:07:49ZengTaylor & Francis GroupJournal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering1347-28522019-11-0118658659810.1080/13467581.2019.16962071696207Development of construction duration prediction model for project planning phase of mixed-use buildingsYoo-Jun Kim0Dong-Jun Yeom1Young Suk Kim2Inha UniversityInha UniversityInha UniversityThe nature of the mixed-use building’s characteristics should be considered to calculate a proper construction duration for mixed-use buildings in the project planning phase. However, the existing construction duration prediction models are incapable to reflect nature as they were developed mainly for single-use buildings. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to suggest a multiple linear regression model for mixed-use buildings that can help the owner and contractor predict a proper construction duration in the project planning phase. To do so, 1,969 mixed-use building project data were collected. The final prediction model for mixed-use buildings with five independent variables was suggested in this study. Its R2 was 0.637 and Ra2 was 0.635. In addition, the results of the validation showed that the prediction model’s average prediction accuracy, MAPE, and RMSE were 88.51%, 75.94, and 11.49% respectively. Given that the prediction model is applied in the project planning phase when there is insufficient information on the project, the results are believed to be at a considerably reliable level. This prediction model will allow the end-user to make simple and quick predictions of a construction duration of a mixed-use building based only on the basic information in the project planning phase.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13467581.2019.1696207mixed-use buildingsconstruction duration prediction modelproject planning phase
spellingShingle Yoo-Jun Kim
Dong-Jun Yeom
Young Suk Kim
Development of construction duration prediction model for project planning phase of mixed-use buildings
Journal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering
mixed-use buildings
construction duration prediction model
project planning phase
title Development of construction duration prediction model for project planning phase of mixed-use buildings
title_full Development of construction duration prediction model for project planning phase of mixed-use buildings
title_fullStr Development of construction duration prediction model for project planning phase of mixed-use buildings
title_full_unstemmed Development of construction duration prediction model for project planning phase of mixed-use buildings
title_short Development of construction duration prediction model for project planning phase of mixed-use buildings
title_sort development of construction duration prediction model for project planning phase of mixed use buildings
topic mixed-use buildings
construction duration prediction model
project planning phase
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13467581.2019.1696207
work_keys_str_mv AT yoojunkim developmentofconstructiondurationpredictionmodelforprojectplanningphaseofmixedusebuildings
AT dongjunyeom developmentofconstructiondurationpredictionmodelforprojectplanningphaseofmixedusebuildings
AT youngsukkim developmentofconstructiondurationpredictionmodelforprojectplanningphaseofmixedusebuildings