The Confounder-Mediator Dilemma: Should We Control for Obesity to Estimate the Effect of Perfluoroalkyl Substances on Health Outcomes?

Confounding adjustment is important for observational studies to derive valid effect estimates for inference. Despite the theoretical advancement of confounding selection procedure, it is often challenging to distinguish between confounders and mediators due to the lack of information about the time...

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Main Authors: Kosuke Inoue, Atsushi Goto, Takehiro Sugiyama, Cecilia Høst Ramlau-Hansen, Zeyan Liew
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-12-01
Series:Toxics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2305-6304/8/4/125
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author Kosuke Inoue
Atsushi Goto
Takehiro Sugiyama
Cecilia Høst Ramlau-Hansen
Zeyan Liew
author_facet Kosuke Inoue
Atsushi Goto
Takehiro Sugiyama
Cecilia Høst Ramlau-Hansen
Zeyan Liew
author_sort Kosuke Inoue
collection DOAJ
description Confounding adjustment is important for observational studies to derive valid effect estimates for inference. Despite the theoretical advancement of confounding selection procedure, it is often challenging to distinguish between confounders and mediators due to the lack of information about the time-ordering and latency of each variable in the data. This is also the case for the studies of perfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS), a group of synthetic chemicals used in industry and consumer products that are persistent and have endocrine-disrupting properties on health outcomes. In this article, we used directed acyclic graphs to describe potential biases introduced by adjusting for or stratifying by the measure of obesity as an intermediate variable in PFAS exposure analyses. We compared results with or without adjusting for body mass index in two cross-sectional data analyses: (1) PFAS levels and maternal thyroid function during early pregnancy using the Danish National Birth Cohort and (2) PFAS levels and cardiovascular disease in adults using the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. In these examples, we showed that the potential heterogeneity observed in stratified analyses by overweight or obese status needs to be interpreted cautiously considering collider stratification bias. This article highlights the complexity of seemingly simple adjustment or stratification analyses, and the need for careful consideration of the confounding and/or mediating role of obesity in PFAS studies.
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spelling doaj.art-adb4d8be13a44ae198833839b18c0c052023-11-21T01:44:38ZengMDPI AGToxics2305-63042020-12-018412510.3390/toxics8040125The Confounder-Mediator Dilemma: Should We Control for Obesity to Estimate the Effect of Perfluoroalkyl Substances on Health Outcomes?Kosuke Inoue0Atsushi Goto1Takehiro Sugiyama2Cecilia Høst Ramlau-Hansen3Zeyan Liew4Department of Epidemiology, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USADepartment of Health Data Science, Graduate School of Data Science, Yokohama City University, Yokohama 236-0027, JapanDiabetes and Metabolism Information Center, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Research Institute, Tokyo 162-8655, JapanResearch Unit for Epidemiology, Department of Public Health, Aarhus University, 8000 Aarhus, DenmarkDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06510, USAConfounding adjustment is important for observational studies to derive valid effect estimates for inference. Despite the theoretical advancement of confounding selection procedure, it is often challenging to distinguish between confounders and mediators due to the lack of information about the time-ordering and latency of each variable in the data. This is also the case for the studies of perfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS), a group of synthetic chemicals used in industry and consumer products that are persistent and have endocrine-disrupting properties on health outcomes. In this article, we used directed acyclic graphs to describe potential biases introduced by adjusting for or stratifying by the measure of obesity as an intermediate variable in PFAS exposure analyses. We compared results with or without adjusting for body mass index in two cross-sectional data analyses: (1) PFAS levels and maternal thyroid function during early pregnancy using the Danish National Birth Cohort and (2) PFAS levels and cardiovascular disease in adults using the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. In these examples, we showed that the potential heterogeneity observed in stratified analyses by overweight or obese status needs to be interpreted cautiously considering collider stratification bias. This article highlights the complexity of seemingly simple adjustment or stratification analyses, and the need for careful consideration of the confounding and/or mediating role of obesity in PFAS studies.https://www.mdpi.com/2305-6304/8/4/125confoundermediatorperfluoroalkyl substancesbody mass indexDanish National Birth CohortNational Health and Nutrition Examination Survey
spellingShingle Kosuke Inoue
Atsushi Goto
Takehiro Sugiyama
Cecilia Høst Ramlau-Hansen
Zeyan Liew
The Confounder-Mediator Dilemma: Should We Control for Obesity to Estimate the Effect of Perfluoroalkyl Substances on Health Outcomes?
Toxics
confounder
mediator
perfluoroalkyl substances
body mass index
Danish National Birth Cohort
National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey
title The Confounder-Mediator Dilemma: Should We Control for Obesity to Estimate the Effect of Perfluoroalkyl Substances on Health Outcomes?
title_full The Confounder-Mediator Dilemma: Should We Control for Obesity to Estimate the Effect of Perfluoroalkyl Substances on Health Outcomes?
title_fullStr The Confounder-Mediator Dilemma: Should We Control for Obesity to Estimate the Effect of Perfluoroalkyl Substances on Health Outcomes?
title_full_unstemmed The Confounder-Mediator Dilemma: Should We Control for Obesity to Estimate the Effect of Perfluoroalkyl Substances on Health Outcomes?
title_short The Confounder-Mediator Dilemma: Should We Control for Obesity to Estimate the Effect of Perfluoroalkyl Substances on Health Outcomes?
title_sort confounder mediator dilemma should we control for obesity to estimate the effect of perfluoroalkyl substances on health outcomes
topic confounder
mediator
perfluoroalkyl substances
body mass index
Danish National Birth Cohort
National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey
url https://www.mdpi.com/2305-6304/8/4/125
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