The Evolution of Educational Expectations in Spain (2003-2018): An Analysis of Social Inequality Using PISA

This paper examines the educational expectations of the Spanish student body at the end of compulsory education. Using the 2003 and 2018 waves of PISA, I report a remarkable increase in the educational ambition of the Spanish student body. Two aspects are worth noting. Firstly, virtually all 15-yea...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Manuel Tomás Valdés
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Hipatia Press 2021-02-01
Series:International Journal of Sociology of Education
Online Access:https://hipatiapress.com/hpjournals/index.php/rise/article/view/6413
_version_ 1811284993220018176
author Manuel Tomás Valdés
author_facet Manuel Tomás Valdés
author_sort Manuel Tomás Valdés
collection DOAJ
description This paper examines the educational expectations of the Spanish student body at the end of compulsory education. Using the 2003 and 2018 waves of PISA, I report a remarkable increase in the educational ambition of the Spanish student body. Two aspects are worth noting. Firstly, virtually all 15-years-old students expect to enroll in Upper Secondary Education by 2018. Secondly, Higher Vocational Education has become a very appealing alternative at tertiary level. Furthermore, significant inequalities have been documented in the configuration of educational expectations. However, inequality has been reduced in the expectations of enrolment in Upper Secondary and Tertiary Education due to the higher educational ambition among socioeconomically disadvantaged students. In turn, inequality has increased in the horizontal expectation of enrolment in the academic track in both levels because a larger share of socioeconomically disadvantaged students preferred the vocational track in 2018 (diversion thesis). Using counterfactual analysis, I have observed that this increase in horizontal inequality would have been larger had it not been for the change in the social structure between 2003 and 2018
first_indexed 2024-04-13T02:37:52Z
format Article
id doaj.art-aeaefc60b26d4ea39ccd696e8073b3dc
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2014-3575
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-13T02:37:52Z
publishDate 2021-02-01
publisher Hipatia Press
record_format Article
series International Journal of Sociology of Education
spelling doaj.art-aeaefc60b26d4ea39ccd696e8073b3dc2022-12-22T03:06:19ZengHipatia PressInternational Journal of Sociology of Education2014-35752021-02-0110110.17583/rise.2020.6413The Evolution of Educational Expectations in Spain (2003-2018): An Analysis of Social Inequality Using PISAManuel Tomás Valdés0Universidad Complutense de Madrid This paper examines the educational expectations of the Spanish student body at the end of compulsory education. Using the 2003 and 2018 waves of PISA, I report a remarkable increase in the educational ambition of the Spanish student body. Two aspects are worth noting. Firstly, virtually all 15-years-old students expect to enroll in Upper Secondary Education by 2018. Secondly, Higher Vocational Education has become a very appealing alternative at tertiary level. Furthermore, significant inequalities have been documented in the configuration of educational expectations. However, inequality has been reduced in the expectations of enrolment in Upper Secondary and Tertiary Education due to the higher educational ambition among socioeconomically disadvantaged students. In turn, inequality has increased in the horizontal expectation of enrolment in the academic track in both levels because a larger share of socioeconomically disadvantaged students preferred the vocational track in 2018 (diversion thesis). Using counterfactual analysis, I have observed that this increase in horizontal inequality would have been larger had it not been for the change in the social structure between 2003 and 2018 https://hipatiapress.com/hpjournals/index.php/rise/article/view/6413
spellingShingle Manuel Tomás Valdés
The Evolution of Educational Expectations in Spain (2003-2018): An Analysis of Social Inequality Using PISA
International Journal of Sociology of Education
title The Evolution of Educational Expectations in Spain (2003-2018): An Analysis of Social Inequality Using PISA
title_full The Evolution of Educational Expectations in Spain (2003-2018): An Analysis of Social Inequality Using PISA
title_fullStr The Evolution of Educational Expectations in Spain (2003-2018): An Analysis of Social Inequality Using PISA
title_full_unstemmed The Evolution of Educational Expectations in Spain (2003-2018): An Analysis of Social Inequality Using PISA
title_short The Evolution of Educational Expectations in Spain (2003-2018): An Analysis of Social Inequality Using PISA
title_sort evolution of educational expectations in spain 2003 2018 an analysis of social inequality using pisa
url https://hipatiapress.com/hpjournals/index.php/rise/article/view/6413
work_keys_str_mv AT manueltomasvaldes theevolutionofeducationalexpectationsinspain20032018ananalysisofsocialinequalityusingpisa
AT manueltomasvaldes evolutionofeducationalexpectationsinspain20032018ananalysisofsocialinequalityusingpisa