Constraining low-frequency variability in climate projections to predict climate on decadal to multi-decadal timescales – a poor man's initialized prediction system

<p>Near-term projections of climate change are subject to substantial uncertainty from internal climate variability. Here we present an approach to reduce this uncertainty by sub-selecting those ensemble members that more closely resemble observed patterns of ocean temperature variability imme...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: R. Mahmood, M. G. Donat, P. Ortega, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, C. Delgado-Torres, M. Samsó, P.-A. Bretonnière
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2022-10-01
Series:Earth System Dynamics
Online Access:https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/13/1437/2022/esd-13-1437-2022.pdf