The coexistence of overestimation and underweighting of rare events and the contingent recency effect

Previous research demonstrates overestimation of rare events in judgment tasks, and underweighting of rare events in decisions from experience. The current paper presents three laboratory experiments and a field study that explore this pattern. The results suggest that the overestimation and underwe...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Greg Barron, Eldad Yechiam
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2009-10-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.sjdm.org/9729b/jdm9729b.pdf