Cross-validation of bias-corrected climate simulations is misleading

<p>We demonstrate both analytically and with a modelling example that cross-validation of free-running bias-corrected climate change simulations against observations is misleading. The underlying reasoning is as follows: a cross-validation can have in principle two outcomes. A negative (in...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: D. Maraun, M. Widmann
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2018-09-01
Series:Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Online Access:https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/22/4867/2018/hess-22-4867-2018.pdf