Forecasting the magnitude of the largest expected earthquake
Forecasting aftershock earthquakes is a critical step in improving seismic hazard mitigation. The authors here combine Bayesian methods with extreme value theory to tackle this problem - and manage to estimate the maximum magnitude of an expected earthquake as well as the arrival times in a pre-defi...
Main Authors: | , , , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Nature Portfolio
2019-09-01
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Series: | Nature Communications |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-11958-4 |