Forecasting elections with mere recognition from small, lousy samples: A comparison of collective recognition, wisdom of crowds, and representative polls

We investigated the extent to which the human capacity for recognition helps to forecast political elections: We compared naïve recognition-based election forecasts computed from convenience samples of citizens’ recognition of party names to (i) standard polling forecasts computed from representativ...

पूर्ण विवरण

ग्रंथसूची विवरण
मुख्य लेखकों: Wolfgang Gaissmaier, Julian N. Marewski, Rüdiger F. Pohl, Oliver Vitouch
स्वरूप: लेख
भाषा:English
प्रकाशित: Cambridge University Press 2011-02-01
श्रृंखला:Judgment and Decision Making
विषय:
ऑनलाइन पहुंच:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297500002102/type/journal_article