Forecasting elections with mere recognition from small, lousy samples: A comparison of collective recognition, wisdom of crowds, and representative polls
We investigated the extent to which the human capacity for recognition helps to forecast political elections: We compared naïve recognition-based election forecasts computed from convenience samples of citizens’ recognition of party names to (i) standard polling forecasts computed from representativ...
| Những tác giả chính: | , , , |
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| Định dạng: | Bài viết |
| Ngôn ngữ: | English |
| Được phát hành: |
Cambridge University Press
2011-02-01
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| Loạt: | Judgment and Decision Making |
| Những chủ đề: | |
| Truy cập trực tuyến: | https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297500002102/type/journal_article |