Coherence of probability judgments from uncertain evidence: Does ACH help?

Although the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses method (ACH) is a structured analytic technique promoted in several intelligence communities for improving the quality of probabilistic hypothesis testing, it has received little empirical testing. Whereas previous evaluations have used numerical evidenc...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Christopher W. Karvetski, David R. Mandel
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2020-11-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297500008159/type/journal_article