Effect of soil property uncertainties on permafrost thaw projections: a calibration-constrained analysis

The effects of soil property uncertainties on permafrost thaw projections are studied using a three-phase subsurface thermal hydrology model and calibration-constrained uncertainty analysis. The null-space Monte Carlo method is used to identify soil hydrothermal parameter combinations that are consi...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: D. R. Harp, A. L. Atchley, S. L. Painter, E. T. Coon, C. J. Wilson, V. E. Romanovsky, J. C. Rowland
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2016-02-01
Series:The Cryosphere
Online Access:http://www.the-cryosphere.net/10/341/2016/tc-10-341-2016.pdf