Probabilistic forecasting of maximum human lifespan by 2100 using Bayesian population projections

<b>Background</b>: We consider the problem of quantifying the human lifespan using a statistical approach that probabilistically forecasts the maximum reported age at death (MRAD) through 2100. <b>Objective</b>: We seek to quantify the probability that any person attains v...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Michael Pearce, Adrian E. Raftery
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research 2021-06-01
Series:Demographic Research
Online Access:https://www.demographic-research.org/articles/volume/44/52