Potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria in low-income and middle-income countries: a modelling study

Summary: Background: COVID-19 has the potential to cause substantial disruptions to health services, due to cases overburdening the health system or response measures limiting usual programmatic activities. We aimed to quantify the extent to which disruptions to services for HIV, tuberculosis, and...

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Main Authors: Alexandra B Hogan, PhD, Britta L Jewell, PhD, Ellie Sherrard-Smith, PhD, Juan F Vesga, PhD, Oliver J Watson, PhD, Charles Whittaker, MSc, Arran Hamlet, PhD, Jennifer A Smith, DPhil, Peter Winskill, PhD, Robert Verity, PhD, Marc Baguelin, PhD, John A Lees, PhD, Lilith K Whittles, PhD, Kylie E C Ainslie, PhD, Samir Bhatt, DPhil, Adhiratha Boonyasiri, MD, Nicholas F Brazeau, PhD, Lorenzo Cattarino, PhD, Laura V Cooper, MPhil, Helen Coupland, MRes, Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg, MMath, Amy Dighe, MRes, Bimandra A Djaafara, MRes, Christl A Donnelly, ProfScD, Jeff W Eaton, PhD, Sabine L van Elsland, PhD, Richard G FitzJohn, PhD, Han Fu, PhD, Katy A M Gaythorpe, PhD, William Green, MRes, David J Haw, PhD, Sarah Hayes, MSc, Wes Hinsley, PhD, Natsuko Imai, PhD, Daniel J Laydon, PhD, Tara D Mangal, PhD, Thomas A Mellan, PhD, Swapnil Mishra, PhD, Gemma Nedjati-Gilani, PhD, Kris V Parag, PhD, Hayley A Thompson, MPH, H Juliette T Unwin, PhD, Michaela A C Vollmer, PhD, Caroline E Walters, PhD, Haowei Wang, MSc, Yuanrong Wang, Xiaoyue Xi, MSc, Neil M Ferguson, ProfDPhil, Lucy C Okell, PhD, Thomas S Churcher, PhD, Nimalan Arinaminpathy, DPhil, Azra C Ghani, ProfPhD, Patrick G T Walker, PhD, Timothy B Hallett, ProfPhD
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2020-09-01
Series:The Lancet Global Health
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214109X20302886