An ensemble n-sub-epidemic modeling framework for short-term forecasting epidemic trajectories: Application to the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA.

We analyze an ensemble of n-sub-epidemic modeling for forecasting the trajectory of epidemics and pandemics. These ensemble modeling approaches, and models that integrate sub-epidemics to capture complex temporal dynamics, have demonstrated powerful forecasting capability. This modeling framework ca...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Gerardo Chowell, Sushma Dahal, Amna Tariq, Kimberlyn Roosa, James M Hyman, Ruiyan Luo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2022-10-01
Series:PLoS Computational Biology
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010602