An ensemble of state-of-the-art ash dispersion models: towards probabilistic forecasts to increase the resilience of air traffic against volcanic eruptions

An ensemble of state-of-the-art ash dispersion models: towards probabilistic forecasts to increase the resilience of air traffic against volcanic eruptions

<p>High-quality volcanic ash forecasts are crucial to minimize the economic impact of volcanic hazards on air traffic. Decision-making is usually based on numerical dispersion modelling with only one model realization. Given the inherent uncertainty of such an approach, a multi-model multi-sou...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: M. Plu, B. Scherllin-Pirscher, D. Arnold Arias, R. Baro, G. Bigeard, L. Bugliaro, A. Carvalho, L. El Amraoui, K. Eschbacher, M. Hirtl, C. Maurer, M. D. Mulder, D. Piontek, L. Robertson, C.-H. Rokitansky, F. Zobl, R. Zopp
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2021-10-01
Series:Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Online Access:https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/21/2973/2021/nhess-21-2973-2021.pdf

Internet

https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/21/2973/2021/nhess-21-2973-2021.pdf

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