Subseasonal Predictability of Boreal Summer Monsoon Rainfall from Ensemble Forecasts

Subseasonal Predictability of Boreal Summer Monsoon Rainfall from Ensemble Forecasts

Subseasonal forecast skill over the broadly defined North American (NAM), West African (WAM) and Asian (AM) summer monsoon regions is investigated using three Ensemble Prediction Systems (EPS) at sub-monthly lead times. Extended Logistic Regression (ELR) is used to produce probabilistic forecasts of...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Nicolas Vigaud, Andrew W. Robertson, Michael K. Tippett, Nachiketa Acharya
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2017-10-01
Series:Frontiers in Environmental Science
Subjects:
subseasonal to seasonal forecasting
forecast calibration
multi-model ensembling
Madden Julian oscillation
El Nino-Southern oscillation
North American monsoon
Online Access:http://journal.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fenvs.2017.00067/full

Internet

http://journal.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fenvs.2017.00067/full

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