Apparent age and gender differences in survival optimism: To what extent are they a bias in the translation of beliefs onto a percentage scale?

A standard way to elicit expectations asks for the percentage chance an event will occur. Previous research demonstrates noise in reported percentages. The current research models a bias; a five percentage point change in reported probabilities implies a larger change in beliefs at certain points in...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: David A. Comerford
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2021-07-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297500008093/type/journal_article