Projecting ozone hole recovery using an ensemble of chemistry–climate models weighted by model performance and independence

Projecting ozone hole recovery using an ensemble of chemistry–climate models weighted by model performance and independence

<p>Calculating a multi-model mean, a commonly used method for ensemble averaging, assumes model independence and equal model skill. Sharing of model components amongst families of models and research centres, conflated by growing ensemble size, means model independence cannot be assumed and is...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: M. Amos, P. J. Young, J. S. Hosking, J.-F. Lamarque, N. L. Abraham, H. Akiyoshi, A. T. Archibald, S. Bekki, M. Deushi, P. Jöckel, D. Kinnison, O. Kirner, M. Kunze, M. Marchand, D. A. Plummer, D. Saint-Martin, K. Sudo, S. Tilmes, Y. Yamashita
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2020-08-01
Series:Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Online Access:https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/20/9961/2020/acp-20-9961-2020.pdf

Internet

https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/20/9961/2020/acp-20-9961-2020.pdf

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