Bayesian Estimation of Advanced Warning Time of Precipitation Emergence
Abstract Climate models disagree on the direction of precipitation change over about half of the Earth. Current characterizations of expected change use the ensemble mean, which systematically underestimates the magnitude and overestimates the time of emergence (ToE) of precipitation change in regio...
Main Authors: | , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Wiley
2024-02-01
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Series: | Earth's Future |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF004079 |