Bayesian Estimation of Advanced Warning Time of Precipitation Emergence

Abstract Climate models disagree on the direction of precipitation change over about half of the Earth. Current characterizations of expected change use the ensemble mean, which systematically underestimates the magnitude and overestimates the time of emergence (ToE) of precipitation change in regio...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Megan Lickley, Sarah Fletcher
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-02-01
Series:Earth's Future
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF004079