Simple framework for real-time forecast in a data-limited situation: the Zika virus (ZIKV) outbreaks in Brazil from 2015 to 2016 as an example

Simple framework for real-time forecast in a data-limited situation: the Zika virus (ZIKV) outbreaks in Brazil from 2015 to 2016 as an example

Abstract Background In 2015–2016, Zika virus (ZIKV) caused serious epidemics in Brazil. The key epidemiological parameters and spatial heterogeneity of ZIKV epidemics in different states in Brazil remain unclear. Early prediction of the final epidemic (or outbreak) size for ZIKV outbreaks is crucial...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Shi Zhao, Salihu S. Musa, Hao Fu, Daihai He, Jing Qin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2019-07-01
Series:Parasites & Vectors
Subjects:
Zika virus
Brazil
Modeling analysis
Reproduction number
Epidemic size
Spatial heterogeneity
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s13071-019-3602-9

Internet

http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s13071-019-3602-9

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