Missing eddy feedback may explain weak signal-to-noise ratios in climate predictions

Abstract The signal-to-noise paradox that climate models are better at predicting the real world than their own ensemble forecast members highlights a serious and currently unresolved model error, adversely affecting climate predictions and introducing uncertainty into climate projections. By comput...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Steven C. Hardiman, Nick J. Dunstone, Adam A. Scaife, Doug M. Smith, Ruth Comer, Yu Nie, Hong-Li Ren
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2022-07-01
Series:npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00280-4