Forecasting US Army enlistment contract production in complex geographical marketing areas

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate an improved method for forecasting the US Army recruiting. Design/methodology/approach – Time series methods, regression modeling, principle components and marketing research are included in this paper. Findings – This paper found the unique abil...

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Main Authors: Joshua L. McDonald, Edward D. White, Raymond R. Hill, Christian Pardo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Emerald Publishing 2018-02-01
Series:Journal of Defense Analytics and Logistics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JDAL-03-2017-0001/full/pdf?title=forecasting-us-army-enlistment-contract-production-in-complex-geographical-marketing-areas
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author Joshua L. McDonald
Edward D. White
Raymond R. Hill
Christian Pardo
author_facet Joshua L. McDonald
Edward D. White
Raymond R. Hill
Christian Pardo
author_sort Joshua L. McDonald
collection DOAJ
description Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate an improved method for forecasting the US Army recruiting. Design/methodology/approach – Time series methods, regression modeling, principle components and marketing research are included in this paper. Findings – This paper found the unique ability of multiple statistical methods applied to a forecasting context to consider the effects of inputs that are controlled to some degree by a decision maker. Research limitations/implications – This work will successfully inform the US Army recruiting leadership on how this improved methodology will improve their recruitment process. Practical implications – Improved US Army analytical technique for forecasting recruiting goals.. Originality/value – This work culls data from open sources, using a zip-code-based classification method to develop more comprehensive forecasting methods with which US Army recruiting leaders can better establish recruiting goals.
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spelling doaj.art-da3de5ca43b7491893dbd2f0fe88a13d2022-12-22T03:16:20ZengEmerald PublishingJournal of Defense Analytics and Logistics2399-64392399-64472018-02-0111698710.1108/JDAL-03-2017-0001600305Forecasting US Army enlistment contract production in complex geographical marketing areasJoshua L. McDonald0Edward D. White1Raymond R. Hill2Christian Pardo3Army Materiel Systems Analysis Activity, Aberdeen Proving Ground, Maryland, USADepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, Air Force Institute of Technology, Wright Patterson AFB, Ohio, USADepartment of Operational Sciences, Air Force Institute of Technology, Wright Patterson AFB, Ohio, USADefense Threat Reduction Agency, Kirtland Air Force Base, New Mexico, USAPurpose – The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate an improved method for forecasting the US Army recruiting. Design/methodology/approach – Time series methods, regression modeling, principle components and marketing research are included in this paper. Findings – This paper found the unique ability of multiple statistical methods applied to a forecasting context to consider the effects of inputs that are controlled to some degree by a decision maker. Research limitations/implications – This work will successfully inform the US Army recruiting leadership on how this improved methodology will improve their recruitment process. Practical implications – Improved US Army analytical technique for forecasting recruiting goals.. Originality/value – This work culls data from open sources, using a zip-code-based classification method to develop more comprehensive forecasting methods with which US Army recruiting leaders can better establish recruiting goals.https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JDAL-03-2017-0001/full/pdf?title=forecasting-us-army-enlistment-contract-production-in-complex-geographical-marketing-areasregressioncomparative studiessales forecasting
spellingShingle Joshua L. McDonald
Edward D. White
Raymond R. Hill
Christian Pardo
Forecasting US Army enlistment contract production in complex geographical marketing areas
Journal of Defense Analytics and Logistics
regression
comparative studies
sales forecasting
title Forecasting US Army enlistment contract production in complex geographical marketing areas
title_full Forecasting US Army enlistment contract production in complex geographical marketing areas
title_fullStr Forecasting US Army enlistment contract production in complex geographical marketing areas
title_full_unstemmed Forecasting US Army enlistment contract production in complex geographical marketing areas
title_short Forecasting US Army enlistment contract production in complex geographical marketing areas
title_sort forecasting us army enlistment contract production in complex geographical marketing areas
topic regression
comparative studies
sales forecasting
url https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JDAL-03-2017-0001/full/pdf?title=forecasting-us-army-enlistment-contract-production-in-complex-geographical-marketing-areas
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