A global perspective of the limits of prediction skill of NWP models

This paper discusses the scale-dependent growth of the global forecast uncertainties simulated by the operational ensemble prediction system of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. It is shown that the initial uncertainties are largest in the tropics and have biggest amplitudes at...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Nedjeljka Žagar
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Stockholm University Press 2017-01-01
Series:Tellus: Series A, Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/16000870.2017.1317573