An empirical comparison of the harmful effects for randomized controlled trials and non-randomized studies of interventions

Introduction: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the gold standard to evaluate the efficacy of interventions (e.g., drugs and vaccines), yet the sample size of RCTs is often limited for safety assessment. Non-randomized studies of interventions (NRSIs) had been proposed as an important alternat...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Minhan Dai, Luis Furuya-Kanamori, Asma Syed, Lifeng Lin, Qiang Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-03-01
Series:Frontiers in Pharmacology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fphar.2023.1064567/full
_version_ 1827986498854584320
author Minhan Dai
Luis Furuya-Kanamori
Asma Syed
Lifeng Lin
Qiang Wang
author_facet Minhan Dai
Luis Furuya-Kanamori
Asma Syed
Lifeng Lin
Qiang Wang
author_sort Minhan Dai
collection DOAJ
description Introduction: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the gold standard to evaluate the efficacy of interventions (e.g., drugs and vaccines), yet the sample size of RCTs is often limited for safety assessment. Non-randomized studies of interventions (NRSIs) had been proposed as an important alternative source for safety assessment. In this study, we aimed to investigate whether there is any difference between RCTs and NRSIs in the evaluation of adverse events.Methods: We used the dataset of systematic reviews with at least one meta-analysis including both RCTs and NRSIs and collected the 2 × 2 table information (i.e., numbers of cases and sample sizes in intervention and control groups) of each study in the meta-analysis. We matched RCTs and NRSIs by their sample sizes (ratio: 0.85/1 to 1/0.85) within a meta-analysis. We estimated the ratio of the odds ratios (RORs) of an NRSI against an RCT in each pair and used the inverse variance as the weight to combine the natural logarithm of ROR (lnROR).Results: We included systematic reviews with 178 meta analyses, from which we confirmed 119 pairs of RCTs and NRSIs. The pooled ROR of NRSIs compared to that of RCTs was estimated to be 0.96 (95% confidence interval: 0.87 and 1.07). Similar results were obtained with different sample size subgroups and treatment subgroups. With the increase in sample size, the difference in ROR between RCTs and NRSIs decreased, although not significantly.Discussion: There was no substantial difference in the effects between RCTs and NRSIs in safety assessment when they have similar sample sizes. Evidence from NRSIs might be considered a supplement to RCTs for safety assessment.
first_indexed 2024-04-09T23:32:19Z
format Article
id doaj.art-db3c088cb6504b0894be40ae3876c71f
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1663-9812
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-09T23:32:19Z
publishDate 2023-03-01
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
record_format Article
series Frontiers in Pharmacology
spelling doaj.art-db3c088cb6504b0894be40ae3876c71f2023-03-21T04:59:22ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Pharmacology1663-98122023-03-011410.3389/fphar.2023.10645671064567An empirical comparison of the harmful effects for randomized controlled trials and non-randomized studies of interventionsMinhan Dai0Luis Furuya-Kanamori1Asma Syed2Lifeng Lin3Qiang Wang4Mental Health Center, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, ChinaSchool of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, The University of Queensland, Herston, QL, AustraliaDepartment of Population Medicine, College of Medicine, Qatar University, Doha, QatarDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United StatesMental Health Center, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, ChinaIntroduction: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the gold standard to evaluate the efficacy of interventions (e.g., drugs and vaccines), yet the sample size of RCTs is often limited for safety assessment. Non-randomized studies of interventions (NRSIs) had been proposed as an important alternative source for safety assessment. In this study, we aimed to investigate whether there is any difference between RCTs and NRSIs in the evaluation of adverse events.Methods: We used the dataset of systematic reviews with at least one meta-analysis including both RCTs and NRSIs and collected the 2 × 2 table information (i.e., numbers of cases and sample sizes in intervention and control groups) of each study in the meta-analysis. We matched RCTs and NRSIs by their sample sizes (ratio: 0.85/1 to 1/0.85) within a meta-analysis. We estimated the ratio of the odds ratios (RORs) of an NRSI against an RCT in each pair and used the inverse variance as the weight to combine the natural logarithm of ROR (lnROR).Results: We included systematic reviews with 178 meta analyses, from which we confirmed 119 pairs of RCTs and NRSIs. The pooled ROR of NRSIs compared to that of RCTs was estimated to be 0.96 (95% confidence interval: 0.87 and 1.07). Similar results were obtained with different sample size subgroups and treatment subgroups. With the increase in sample size, the difference in ROR between RCTs and NRSIs decreased, although not significantly.Discussion: There was no substantial difference in the effects between RCTs and NRSIs in safety assessment when they have similar sample sizes. Evidence from NRSIs might be considered a supplement to RCTs for safety assessment.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fphar.2023.1064567/fullrandomized controlled trialnon-randomized studies of interventionadverse eventsharmful effectempirical comparison
spellingShingle Minhan Dai
Luis Furuya-Kanamori
Asma Syed
Lifeng Lin
Qiang Wang
An empirical comparison of the harmful effects for randomized controlled trials and non-randomized studies of interventions
Frontiers in Pharmacology
randomized controlled trial
non-randomized studies of intervention
adverse events
harmful effect
empirical comparison
title An empirical comparison of the harmful effects for randomized controlled trials and non-randomized studies of interventions
title_full An empirical comparison of the harmful effects for randomized controlled trials and non-randomized studies of interventions
title_fullStr An empirical comparison of the harmful effects for randomized controlled trials and non-randomized studies of interventions
title_full_unstemmed An empirical comparison of the harmful effects for randomized controlled trials and non-randomized studies of interventions
title_short An empirical comparison of the harmful effects for randomized controlled trials and non-randomized studies of interventions
title_sort empirical comparison of the harmful effects for randomized controlled trials and non randomized studies of interventions
topic randomized controlled trial
non-randomized studies of intervention
adverse events
harmful effect
empirical comparison
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fphar.2023.1064567/full
work_keys_str_mv AT minhandai anempiricalcomparisonoftheharmfuleffectsforrandomizedcontrolledtrialsandnonrandomizedstudiesofinterventions
AT luisfuruyakanamori anempiricalcomparisonoftheharmfuleffectsforrandomizedcontrolledtrialsandnonrandomizedstudiesofinterventions
AT asmasyed anempiricalcomparisonoftheharmfuleffectsforrandomizedcontrolledtrialsandnonrandomizedstudiesofinterventions
AT lifenglin anempiricalcomparisonoftheharmfuleffectsforrandomizedcontrolledtrialsandnonrandomizedstudiesofinterventions
AT qiangwang anempiricalcomparisonoftheharmfuleffectsforrandomizedcontrolledtrialsandnonrandomizedstudiesofinterventions
AT minhandai empiricalcomparisonoftheharmfuleffectsforrandomizedcontrolledtrialsandnonrandomizedstudiesofinterventions
AT luisfuruyakanamori empiricalcomparisonoftheharmfuleffectsforrandomizedcontrolledtrialsandnonrandomizedstudiesofinterventions
AT asmasyed empiricalcomparisonoftheharmfuleffectsforrandomizedcontrolledtrialsandnonrandomizedstudiesofinterventions
AT lifenglin empiricalcomparisonoftheharmfuleffectsforrandomizedcontrolledtrialsandnonrandomizedstudiesofinterventions
AT qiangwang empiricalcomparisonoftheharmfuleffectsforrandomizedcontrolledtrialsandnonrandomizedstudiesofinterventions