Introducing the outbreak threshold in epidemiology.

When a pathogen is rare in a host population, there is a chance that it will die out because of stochastic effects instead of causing a major epidemic. Yet no criteria exist to determine when the pathogen increases to a risky level, from which it has a large chance of dying out, to when a major outb...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Matthew Hartfield, Samuel Alizon
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2013-01-01
Series:PLoS Pathogens
Online Access:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/23785276/pdf/?tool=EBI