A Markov-switching model of inflation: looking at the future during uncertain times

In this paper, we analyze the dynamic of inflation in Venezuela, during the last eighteen years, through a Markov-switching estimation of a New Keynesian Phillips curve. Estimation is carried out using the EM algorithm. The model´s estimates distinguish between a "normal or backward looking&quo...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Carolina Pagliacci, Daniel Barráez
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana 2010-01-01
Series:Análisis Económico
Online Access:http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=41315994005