Analysis on the potential forecast of thunderstorm based on high resolution numerical model in the middle of Zhejiang Province(基于高分辨率数值产品的浙中雷电潜势预报分析)

综合考虑预报因子的季节特征和时域特征,基于高分辨率数值产品(T639)的二次计算,选取对流有效位能CAPE、K指数、沙氏指数SI等对区域性雷电有较好的指示意义的若干对流参数和物理量,融合消空法和多格点指标叠加法,开发了用于浙江中部金华地区3~9月未来24 h的雷电潜势预报方法,试报效果良好,并且对区域性雷雨大风和冰雹有较好的指示意义,自动化运行后具有重要的业务参考价值....

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: HUANGYan(黄艳), CAIMin(蔡敏), YANHongmei(严红梅)
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Zhejiang University Press 2015-12-01
Series:Zhejiang Daxue xuebao. Lixue ban
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.3785/j.issn.1008-9497.2015.Supp.024