Analysis on the potential forecast of thunderstorm based on high resolution numerical model in the middle of Zhejiang Province(基于高分辨率数值产品的浙中雷电潜势预报分析)

Analysis on the potential forecast of thunderstorm based on high resolution numerical model in the middle of Zhejiang Province(基于高分辨率数值产品的浙中雷电潜势预报分析)

综合考虑预报因子的季节特征和时域特征，基于高分辨率数值产品(T639)的二次计算，选取对流有效位能CAPE、K指数、沙氏指数SI等对区域性雷电有较好的指示意义的若干对流参数和物理量，融合消空法和多格点指标叠加法，开发了用于浙江中部金华地区3~9月未来24 h的雷电潜势预报方法，试报效果良好，并且对区域性雷雨大风和冰雹有较好的指示意义，自动化运行后具有重要的业务参考价值....

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: HUANGYan(黄艳), CAIMin(蔡敏), YANHongmei(严红梅)
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Zhejiang University Press 2015-12-01
Series:Zhejiang Daxue xuebao. Lixue ban
Subjects:
高分辨率数值产品
对流参数
雷电潜势预报
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.3785/j.issn.1008-9497.2015.Supp.024

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