Scaling up uncertain predictions to higher levels of organisation tends to underestimate change

Abstract Uncertainty is an irreducible part of predictive science, causing us to over‐ or underestimate the magnitude of change that a system of interest will face. In a reductionist approach, we may use predictions at the level of individual system components (e.g. species biomass), and combine the...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: James A. Orr, Jeremy J. Piggott, Andrew L. Jackson, Jean‐François Arnoldi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-08-01
Series:Methods in Ecology and Evolution
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.13621