Filtering and improved Uncertainty Quantification in the dynamic estimation of effective reproduction numbers

Filtering and improved Uncertainty Quantification in the dynamic estimation of effective reproduction numbers

The effective reproduction number Rt measures an infectious disease’s transmissibility as the number of secondary infections in one reproduction time in a population having both susceptible and non-susceptible hosts. Current approaches do not quantify the uncertainty correctly in estimating Rt, as e...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Marcos A. Capistrán, Antonio Capella, J. Andrés Christen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-09-01
Series:Epidemics
Subjects:
Effective reproduction number
Renewal equation
Bayesian inference
Dynamic Linear Models
Uncertainty Quantification
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436522000640

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http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436522000640

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