Measuring Macroeconomic Uncertainty to Brasil

The paper proposes estimating a macroeconomic measure of uncertainty to Brazil. The index was constructed based on the methodology of Jurado et al. (2015) used to build the same index for the US economy. We show that an increase in the uncertainty level leads to economic recessions. Moreover, the re...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Lucas Lúcio Godeiro, Luiz Renato Régis de Oliveira Lima
Format: Article
Language:Portuguese
Published: Universidade de São Paulo 2017-08-01
Series:Economia Aplicada
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/135146