Out-of-sample forecasting of housing bubble tipping points

This paper analyzes the information content of statistical tests for bubble detection in the context of international real estate markets. We derive binary indicators from the causal application of five statistical tests to log house prices, and via logit regressions we assess the indicators’ out-of...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Diego Ardila, Dorsa Sanadgol, Didier Sornette
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2018-11-01
Series:Quantitative Finance and Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.aimspress.com/article/10.3934/QFE.2018.4.904/fulltext.html