Bayesian Forecasting of Dynamic Extreme Quantiles

In this paper, we provide a novel Bayesian solution to forecasting extreme quantile thresholds that are dynamic in nature. This is an important problem in many fields of study including climatology, structural engineering, and finance. We utilize results from extreme value theory to provide the back...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Douglas E. Johnston
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-10-01
Series:Forecasting
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2571-9394/3/4/45