Infection Waves in Pandemics and Risk Prediction: Physical Diffusion Theory and Data Comparisons
We predict the magnitude and estimate the uncertainties of the spread, growth and maximum expected long-term infection rates that affect emergency policies and plans. For the COVID-19 and 1918 viral pandemics, large second or successive peaks, waves or plateaux of increased infections occur long aft...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Society for Risk Analysis - China
2021-06-01
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| Series: | Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response (JRACR) |
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| Online Access: | https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/125957744/view |