Deterministic epidemic models overestimate the basic reproduction number of observed outbreaks

The basic reproduction number, R0, is a well-known quantifier of epidemic spread. However, a class of existing methods for estimating R0 from incidence data early in the epidemic can lead to an over-estimation of this quantity. In particular, when fitting deterministic models to estimate the rate of...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Wajid Ali, Christopher E. Overton, Robert R. Wilkinson, Kieran J. Sharkey
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2024-09-01
Series:Infectious Disease Modelling
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2468042724000277