A statistical look at Modeen's forecast of the population of Finland in 1934

Gunnar Modeen made the first cohort-component forecast for Finland in 1934. This was a time when demographic transition was just over, but that fact could not have been known at the time. Would it have made any difference if Modeen had had the tools of modern time-series analysis available? We find...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Juha M. Alho
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Population Research Institute of Väestöliitto 2000-01-01
Series:Finnish Yearbook of Population Research
Online Access:https://journal.fi/fypr/article/view/44949