Dropout prediction and decision feedback supported by multi temporal sequences of learning behavior in MOOCs

Abstract The temporal sequence of learning behavior is multidimensional and continuous in MOOCs. On the one hand, it supports personalized learning methods, achieves flexible time and space. On the other hand, it also makes MOOCs produce a large number of dropouts and incomplete learning behaviors....

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Main Authors: Xiaona Xia, Wanxue Qi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2023-05-01
Series:International Journal of Educational Technology in Higher Education
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s41239-023-00400-x
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author Xiaona Xia
Wanxue Qi
author_facet Xiaona Xia
Wanxue Qi
author_sort Xiaona Xia
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The temporal sequence of learning behavior is multidimensional and continuous in MOOCs. On the one hand, it supports personalized learning methods, achieves flexible time and space. On the other hand, it also makes MOOCs produce a large number of dropouts and incomplete learning behaviors. Dropout prediction and decision feedback have become an important issue of MOOCs. This study carries out sufficient method design and decision analysis on the dropout trend. Based on a large number of learning behavior instances, we construct a multi behavior type association framework, design dropout prediction model to analyze the temporal sequence of learning behavior, then discuss the corresponding intervention measures, in order to provide adaptive monitoring mechanism for long-term tracking and short-term learning method selection, and enable adaptive decision feedback. the full experiment shows that the designed model might improve the performance of the dropout prediction, which achieves the reliability and feasibility. The whole research can provide key technical solution and decision, which has important theoretical and practical value for dropout research of MOOCs.
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spelling doaj.art-ef2ae7378ac34bb3961bf31969cf334d2023-07-09T11:21:09ZengSpringerOpenInternational Journal of Educational Technology in Higher Education2365-94402023-05-0120112510.1186/s41239-023-00400-xDropout prediction and decision feedback supported by multi temporal sequences of learning behavior in MOOCsXiaona Xia0Wanxue Qi1Faculty of Education, Qufu Normal UniversityFaculty of Education, Qufu Normal UniversityAbstract The temporal sequence of learning behavior is multidimensional and continuous in MOOCs. On the one hand, it supports personalized learning methods, achieves flexible time and space. On the other hand, it also makes MOOCs produce a large number of dropouts and incomplete learning behaviors. Dropout prediction and decision feedback have become an important issue of MOOCs. This study carries out sufficient method design and decision analysis on the dropout trend. Based on a large number of learning behavior instances, we construct a multi behavior type association framework, design dropout prediction model to analyze the temporal sequence of learning behavior, then discuss the corresponding intervention measures, in order to provide adaptive monitoring mechanism for long-term tracking and short-term learning method selection, and enable adaptive decision feedback. the full experiment shows that the designed model might improve the performance of the dropout prediction, which achieves the reliability and feasibility. The whole research can provide key technical solution and decision, which has important theoretical and practical value for dropout research of MOOCs.https://doi.org/10.1186/s41239-023-00400-xMOOCsLearning behaviorMulti temporal sequenceDropout trendDropout prediction modelLearning analytics
spellingShingle Xiaona Xia
Wanxue Qi
Dropout prediction and decision feedback supported by multi temporal sequences of learning behavior in MOOCs
International Journal of Educational Technology in Higher Education
MOOCs
Learning behavior
Multi temporal sequence
Dropout trend
Dropout prediction model
Learning analytics
title Dropout prediction and decision feedback supported by multi temporal sequences of learning behavior in MOOCs
title_full Dropout prediction and decision feedback supported by multi temporal sequences of learning behavior in MOOCs
title_fullStr Dropout prediction and decision feedback supported by multi temporal sequences of learning behavior in MOOCs
title_full_unstemmed Dropout prediction and decision feedback supported by multi temporal sequences of learning behavior in MOOCs
title_short Dropout prediction and decision feedback supported by multi temporal sequences of learning behavior in MOOCs
title_sort dropout prediction and decision feedback supported by multi temporal sequences of learning behavior in moocs
topic MOOCs
Learning behavior
Multi temporal sequence
Dropout trend
Dropout prediction model
Learning analytics
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s41239-023-00400-x
work_keys_str_mv AT xiaonaxia dropoutpredictionanddecisionfeedbacksupportedbymultitemporalsequencesoflearningbehaviorinmoocs
AT wanxueqi dropoutpredictionanddecisionfeedbacksupportedbymultitemporalsequencesoflearningbehaviorinmoocs