Nouvelle méthodologie d’analyse bayésienne du report des voix et de l’abstention lors du deuxième tour des élections

The mechanism for deferring votes in two-round elections is a big unknown: does the voter follow a voting instruction, when there is one, or does he develop a personal voting strategy? The information from the counts of the first and second rounds is used to model voter behavior as an inverse proble...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Girondot, Marc
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Académie des sciences 2023-01-01
Series:Comptes Rendus. Mathématique
Online Access:https://comptes-rendus.academie-sciences.fr/mathematique/articles/10.5802/crmath.401/