Sequentially Adaptive Bayesian Learning for a Nonlinear Model of the Secular and Cyclical Behavior of US Real GDP

There is a one-to-one mapping between the conventional time series parameters of a third-order autoregression and the more interpretable parameters of secular half-life, cyclical half-life and cycle period. The latter parameterization is better suited to interpretation of results using both Bayesian...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: John Geweke
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2016-03-01
Series:Econometrics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/4/1/10