Potential types of bias when estimating causal effects in environmental research and how to interpret them

Abstract To inform environmental policy and practice, researchers estimate effects of interventions/exposures by conducting primary research (e.g., impact evaluations) or secondary research (e.g., evidence reviews). If these estimates are derived from poorly conducted/reported research, then they co...

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Main Authors: Ko Konno, James Gibbons, Ruth Lewis, Andrew S Pullin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2024-02-01
Series:Environmental Evidence
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s13750-024-00324-7
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author Ko Konno
James Gibbons
Ruth Lewis
Andrew S Pullin
author_facet Ko Konno
James Gibbons
Ruth Lewis
Andrew S Pullin
author_sort Ko Konno
collection DOAJ
description Abstract To inform environmental policy and practice, researchers estimate effects of interventions/exposures by conducting primary research (e.g., impact evaluations) or secondary research (e.g., evidence reviews). If these estimates are derived from poorly conducted/reported research, then they could misinform policy and practice by providing biased estimates. Many types of bias have been described, especially in health and medical sciences. We aimed to map all types of bias from the literature that are relevant to estimating causal effects in the environmental sector. All the types of bias were initially identified by using the Catalogue of Bias (catalogofbias.org) and reviewing key publications (n = 11) that previously collated and described biases. We identified 121 (out of 206) types of bias that were relevant to estimating causal effects in the environmental sector. We provide a general interpretation of every relevant type of bias covered by seven risk-of-bias domains for primary research: risk of confounding biases; risk of post-intervention/exposure selection biases; risk of misclassified/mismeasured comparison biases; risk of performance biases; risk of detection biases; risk of outcome reporting biases; risk of outcome assessment biases, and four domains for secondary research: risk of searching biases; risk of screening biases; risk of study appraisal and data coding/extraction biases; risk of data synthesis biases. Our collation should help scientists and decision makers in the environmental sector be better aware of the nature of bias in estimation of causal effects. Future research is needed to formalise the definitions of the collated types of bias such as through decomposition using mathematical formulae.
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spelling doaj.art-f2cf05b8424f46b5823b45d666fd4e372024-03-05T17:42:44ZengBMCEnvironmental Evidence2047-23822024-02-0113113110.1186/s13750-024-00324-7Potential types of bias when estimating causal effects in environmental research and how to interpret themKo Konno0James Gibbons1Ruth Lewis2Andrew S Pullin3School of Natural Sciences, Bangor UniversitySchool of Natural Sciences, Bangor UniversitySchool of Medical and Health Sciences, Bangor UniversitySchool of Natural Sciences, Bangor UniversityAbstract To inform environmental policy and practice, researchers estimate effects of interventions/exposures by conducting primary research (e.g., impact evaluations) or secondary research (e.g., evidence reviews). If these estimates are derived from poorly conducted/reported research, then they could misinform policy and practice by providing biased estimates. Many types of bias have been described, especially in health and medical sciences. We aimed to map all types of bias from the literature that are relevant to estimating causal effects in the environmental sector. All the types of bias were initially identified by using the Catalogue of Bias (catalogofbias.org) and reviewing key publications (n = 11) that previously collated and described biases. We identified 121 (out of 206) types of bias that were relevant to estimating causal effects in the environmental sector. We provide a general interpretation of every relevant type of bias covered by seven risk-of-bias domains for primary research: risk of confounding biases; risk of post-intervention/exposure selection biases; risk of misclassified/mismeasured comparison biases; risk of performance biases; risk of detection biases; risk of outcome reporting biases; risk of outcome assessment biases, and four domains for secondary research: risk of searching biases; risk of screening biases; risk of study appraisal and data coding/extraction biases; risk of data synthesis biases. Our collation should help scientists and decision makers in the environmental sector be better aware of the nature of bias in estimation of causal effects. Future research is needed to formalise the definitions of the collated types of bias such as through decomposition using mathematical formulae.https://doi.org/10.1186/s13750-024-00324-7Critical appraisalRisk-of-bias assessmentValidity of causal inferencesThreats to internal validity
spellingShingle Ko Konno
James Gibbons
Ruth Lewis
Andrew S Pullin
Potential types of bias when estimating causal effects in environmental research and how to interpret them
Environmental Evidence
Critical appraisal
Risk-of-bias assessment
Validity of causal inferences
Threats to internal validity
title Potential types of bias when estimating causal effects in environmental research and how to interpret them
title_full Potential types of bias when estimating causal effects in environmental research and how to interpret them
title_fullStr Potential types of bias when estimating causal effects in environmental research and how to interpret them
title_full_unstemmed Potential types of bias when estimating causal effects in environmental research and how to interpret them
title_short Potential types of bias when estimating causal effects in environmental research and how to interpret them
title_sort potential types of bias when estimating causal effects in environmental research and how to interpret them
topic Critical appraisal
Risk-of-bias assessment
Validity of causal inferences
Threats to internal validity
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s13750-024-00324-7
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AT ruthlewis potentialtypesofbiaswhenestimatingcausaleffectsinenvironmentalresearchandhowtointerpretthem
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