Construction and evaluation of two computational models for predicting the incidence of influenza in Nagasaki Prefecture, Japan

Abstract It remains challenging to forecast local, seasonal outbreaks of influenza. The goal of this study was to construct a computational model for predicting influenza incidence. We built two computational models including an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model and a hybrid model integrat...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Fei He, Zhi-jian Hu, Wen-chang Zhang, Lin Cai, Guo-xi Cai, Kiyoshi Aoyagi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2017-08-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-07475-3