Validity of Markovian modeling for transient memory-dependent epidemic dynamics

Abstract The initial transient phase of an emerging epidemic is of critical importance for data-driven model building, model-based prediction of the epidemic trend, and articulation of control/prevention strategies. Quantitative models for real-world epidemics need to be memory-dependent or non-Mark...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Mi Feng, Liang Tian, Ying-Cheng Lai, Changsong Zhou
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-03-01
Series:Communications Physics
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s42005-024-01578-w