Modeling the Dynamic Financial Condition Index (FCI) and Assessing Its Effectiveness in Predicting Iran’s Stock ‎Returns

This paper used a factor-augmented vector autoregressive model with time-varying coefficients to construct a financial conditions index. Time variation in the model’s parameters allowed the weights to be attached ­to each variable in the index to evolve and evaluate dynamics across time. The ability...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Seyed Aziz Arman, Ebrahim Anvari, Samere RakiKianpour
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: University of Isfahan 2022-03-01
Series:Journal of Asset Management and Financing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://amf.ui.ac.ir/article_26718_d48a8737c9f2ea8a87ad694abd473dc2.pdf